Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 4.037248 4.808330 5.666462 6.689341 7.872299 9.194193 10.779864
2025-09-14 2.757339 3.696588 4.851370 6.363835 8.279376 10.610303 13.645253
2025-09-21 2.092723 3.096923 4.437083 6.330712 8.906982 12.255026 16.893680
2025-09-28 1.648821 2.660664 4.110375 6.295269 9.450892 13.779433 20.085809
2025-10-05 1.443119 2.506177 4.122771 6.692568 10.589195 16.171166 24.634943
2025-10-12 1.240664 2.308536 4.025045 6.890559 11.431589 18.194620 28.819080
2025-10-19 1.097811 2.175836 3.997987 7.176144 12.413203 20.483156 33.557003
2025-10-26 0.934637 1.973507 3.819446 7.180809 12.934124 22.095357 37.380188
2025-11-02 0.765474 1.724895 3.518587 6.929462 12.992405 22.964277 40.087582
2025-11-09 0.630094 1.513351 3.248319 6.687840 13.025528 23.772311 42.730338
2025-11-16 0.547303 1.392706 3.128688 6.699990 13.492103 25.320498 46.680071
2025-11-23 0.477847 1.286506 3.019919 6.714718 13.956225 26.888231 50.758152
2025-11-30 0.408368 1.167572 2.870563 6.637843 14.255443 28.215931 54.569187
2025-12-07 0.331900 1.014024 2.621969 6.324794 14.066757 28.651450 56.844295
2025-12-14 0.287206 0.930748 2.515479 6.294860 14.428516 30.117331 61.064345
2025-12-21 0.248892 0.855226 2.413959 6.260479 14.773340 31.570710 65.351751
2025-12-28 0.238472 0.856794 2.498864 6.656117 16.050178 34.900521 73.354729
2026-01-04 0.218856 0.826351 2.498694 6.853239 16.919051 37.489185 80.103546
2026-01-11 0.204999 0.810564 2.533733 7.137483 18.001350 40.571896 87.984670
2026-01-18 0.181268 0.756642 2.458365 7.142134 18.460375 42.423258 93.564242
2026-01-25 0.151754 0.674488 2.290606 6.891989 18.313482 43.013566 96.669775
2026-02-01 0.127044 0.601633 2.135432 6.651527 18.161065 43.573351 99.736389
2026-02-08 0.112896 0.564245 2.078448 6.663619 18.607802 45.435013 105.570617